Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

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Windy_Hill
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Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

Post by Windy_Hill » Fri Mar 15, 2019 8:57 pm

1) Melbourne
2) Richmond
3) Collingwood
4) West Coast
5) Adelaide
6) GWS
7) North Melbourne
8 ) Hawthorn
9) Essendon
10) Geelong
11) Port Adelaide
12) Sydney
13) Brisbane
14) Fremantle
15 Carlton
16) Western Bulldogs
17) Gold Coast
18) St Kilda

In my opinion the Top 6 is a given. I honestly can't see any of these teams finishing lower. Melbourne are definitely the team to beat and their trajectory over the last 2 years along with excellent recruiting should see them pip the other fancied teams (Remember this is the Ladder after Home and Away - not finals)

The competition for the final two Top 8 placings will be fought out between 5 teams (North, Hawthorn, Essendon, Geelong and Port) I see us missing out again. We lack a cohesive forward line and our defence has been average for a while. Compounding this, two key players, All Australians in Hooker and Daniher, will not be available for the first 4-5 weeks. I think our performance in these early rounds will determine our long term fate. If we are 2 wins - 3 losses after the first 5 rounds we will have to win 12 of the last 17 to be assured a finals place. The margins are that tight. And getting back to our defence, it is here that percentage could really hurt us.

Our First Ten Games - (in brackets home or away)and our chance of winning

Giants (a) - 50%
Saints (h) - 85%
Demons (a) - 35%
Lions (h) - 70%
Kangaroos (a) - 50%
Magpies (h) - 40%
Cats (a) - 55%
Swans (a) - 60%
Dockers (h) - 75%
Tigers (a) - 40%

So we start favourite in just 5 of the first 10 games. if we split the two 50/50 games then we can assume 6 wins from the first 10 games - if things go well 7 wins. That's why the fist five games are so critical and this is why missing key players will be an issue - two of the first 5 games are the 50/50 match ups against GWS and North. Critical games.

I think the bottom 7 teams will be as shown with perhaps the order of finishing changing here and there. I expect Carlton and Brisbane to be highly competitive and will upset some top teams throughout the year. Sydney is in decline and Fremantle, despite some decent recruiting still lacks the squad depth and quality to push into the top half. St Kilda will assume their rightful place as wooden spooners

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BenDoolan
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Re: Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

Post by BenDoolan » Fri Mar 15, 2019 10:06 pm

1. Richmond
2. West Coast
3. Collingwood
4. GWS
5. Adelaide
6. Melbourne
7. Sydney
8. Geelong
9. Hawthorn
10. North Melbourne
11. Port Adelaide
12. Western Bulldogs
13. Brisbane
14. Fremantle
15. Carlton
16. St. Kilda
17. Essendon
18. Gold Coast

Despite getting recruiting coups in Smith, Saad, Stringer, Shiel, and a #1 draft pick in McGrath over the past 3 years, we will suffer injury curses, be plagued with schizophrenic performances against insipid opposition, and be struck down with clanger convulsions through the year. We may even fall into a coma at some stage.

Be patient.
Unfortunately, you can't drown a witch!

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Windy_Hill
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Re: Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

Post by Windy_Hill » Fri Mar 15, 2019 10:45 pm

BenDoolan wrote:
Fri Mar 15, 2019 10:06 pm
1. Richmond
2. West Coast
3. Collingwood
4. GWS
5. Adelaide
6. Melbourne
7. Sydney
8. Geelong
9. Hawthorn
10. North Melbourne
11. Port Adelaide
12. Western Bulldogs
13. Brisbane
14. Fremantle
15. Carlton
16. St. Kilda
17. Essendon
18. Gold Coast

Despite getting recruiting coups in Smith, Saad, Stringer, Shiel, and a #1 draft pick in McGrath over the past 3 years, we will suffer injury curses, be plagued with schizophrenic performances against insipid opposition, and be struck down with clanger convulsions through the year. We may even fall into a coma at some stage.

Be patient.

You're just being plain stupid now!!!!







There's no way Sydney will make the 8

:P :o 8) :lol: :roll: :wink: :wink: :wink:

nudder12
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Re: Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

Post by nudder12 » Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:37 am

BenDoolan wrote:
Fri Mar 15, 2019 10:06 pm
We may even fall into a coma at some stage.
Probably from trying to understand the tweaks to our "new" game plan.

Crazyman
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Re: Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

Post by Crazyman » Sat Mar 16, 2019 9:59 am

1. Richmond
2. West Coast
3. GWS
4. Adelaide
5. Melbourne
6. Collingwood
7. Hawthorn
8. Geelong
9. Essendon
10. North Melbourne
11. Sydney
12. Port Adelaide
13. Western Bulldogs
14. Brisbane
15. Fremantle
16. Carlton
17. St. Kilda
18. Gold Coast

grassy1
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Re: Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

Post by grassy1 » Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:49 pm

I’ll work a Ladder out on Sundaysometime,but for now,I can’t see Essendon finish any higher than 8th and as low as 14th

Sorry,but that’s where we sit with me.Of course,I hope I’m wrong,for a better result for us.But I fear not. :( [-( :-& :roll:

Rover99
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Re: Ladder Prediction - After Home & Away

Post by Rover99 » Sat Mar 16, 2019 5:31 pm

Rover
1. West Coast
2.Richmond
3. Collingwood
4. Adelaide
5. Melbourne
6. Essendon
7. Hawthorn
8. Geelong
9. GWS
10. North Melbourne
11. Sydney
12. Port Adelaide
13. Western Bulldogs
14. Carlton
15. Fremantle
16. Brisbane
17. St. Kilda
18. Gold Coast
[/quote]

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