Tough Month

DYSON#2 · Post by **DYSON#2** » Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:54 pm

Well i thought it was going to start next week (techniqually it does) but it started against the dee's....

Next week we take on the in form cats, followed by the Doggies, Pies and Crows. How many do we expect to win from next 4?

Hopefully the spirit flys and the desire for finals comes out.

Laycock finding form
Lovett getting the miles under the belt etc can only help.

We MUST win at least 2 from next 4 going into the last 5 rounds which is just as tough.

Lloyd is King · Post by **Lloyd is King** » Fri Jun 29, 2007 11:59 pm

We won't beat Geelong.

We can beat the Dogs and the Pies.

We won't beat Adelaide.

2 from 4.

After tonight, I THINK... we SHOULD make the finals.

bomberdonnie · Post by **bomberdonnie** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:01 am

If we get 2 from the next 4 I wiill be happy

andrewb · Post by **andrewb** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:08 am

Bah.... The way this season is going we can beat anyone and lose to anyone.

Bring on Geelong.

Essendon4eva · Post by **Essendon4eva** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:14 am

2 from the next for gives us 10 wins. I think we will then win another 2 after the next four. 12 wins should get us in the 8.

dingus · Post by **dingus** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:16 am

Marvel as we beat Adelaide, the filth and Geelong and lose to the dogs.

Boyler_Room · Post by **Boyler_Room** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:46 am

dingus wrote:Marvel as we beat Adelaide, the filth and Geelong and lose to the dogs.

If that can be guaranteed right now, I'll take it. That gives us 11 wins, with 1 more needed from a tough last 5 that includes 2 trips to Subi and a game against Hawthorn, our apparent "bogey" team in Carlton and the cellar dwellers, Richmond, to secure a spot in the finals.

jimmyc1985 · Post by **jimmyc1985** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:49 am

Boyler_Room wrote:
dingus wrote:Marvel as we beat Adelaide, the filth and Geelong and lose to the dogs.
If that can be guaranteed right now, I'll take it. That gives us 11 wins, with 1 more needed from a tough last 5 that includes 2 trips to Subi and a game against Hawthorn, our apparent "bogey" team in Carlton and the cellar dwellers, Richmond, to secure a spot in the finals.

No shit you'd take 3-1 over the next month

. The way we played tonight, we wouldn't win any of those matches.

I'd take 2-2. Happily.

Boyler_Room · Post by **Boyler_Room** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:51 am

Yeah, I did think I was stating the obvious

84859300 · Post by **84859300** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 2:17 am

Lloyd is King wrote:We won't beat Adelaide

Your kidding me LISK.

Adelaide are horrible in Melbourne.

Ramanama · Post by **Ramanama** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 12:12 pm

I reckon we will only win 1 from the 4 and that will be the Bulldogs match.

Boyler_Room · Post by **Boyler_Room** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 1:30 pm

We're capable of beating all of those teams. The biggest problem would most likely be the Cats, but they're unpredicable at times.

We've already beaten Adelaide (in Adelaide), capable of beating Footscray and Collingwood and will need to shut Geelong's midfield down to beat them, something we're also able to do (a la West Coast game).

We're capable of going 4-0. I highly doubt it and expect more that we'll go 2-2, but the ability is there. We just need to play 4 quarters instead of relying on 1 and a 1/2 quarters to get us over the line.

Lloyd is King · Post by **Lloyd is King** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 2:22 pm

84859300 wrote:
Lloyd is King wrote:We won't beat Adelaide
Your kidding me LISK.

Adelaide are horrible in Melbourne.

Sorry, yeh I am kidding. Forget we already played them in Adelaide.

Cats - loss
Pies - 50/50
Dogs - 50/50
Crows - win

swoodley · Post by **swoodley** » Sat Jun 30, 2007 6:47 pm

No science to what I'm about to write but here goes:

Watched the last half of the Geelong/Sydney game today and I reckon Geelong are due for a loss. They had a few injuries today and looked pretty frazzled for most of the last quarter. They've now won eight on the trot which is damn good but I think we're a good chance this week.

It's Hirdy's 250th (and campo's as well

) which should provide some additional inspiration/incentive. Shit, I'm feeling so upbeat about this game that I might just pick us to win.

ZRS · Post by **ZRS** » Sun Jul 01, 2007 10:48 am

im with you swoods, the geelong are due a loss, and with the tough game against syd, and a few injurys now is a likely time, add into that the fact that we win the games we should lose, and lose the games we should win, we are a certainty to win this game

look forward to seeing the odds, might be a JohnG game to get some money on

Madden · Post by **Madden** » Sun Jul 01, 2007 1:00 pm

Its a f*cking tough month. No question.

2-2 is a success. We have to win 5 more games to make 13 and guarantee us a spot. If we win 12 we could very well miss out on %.

Does anyone else see the writing on the wall? - we all know the game our season is going to come down to.

Carlton.

dom_105 · Post by **dom_105** » Sun Jul 01, 2007 1:49 pm

Staggy wrote:Does anyone else see the writing on the wall? - we all know the game our season is going to come down to.

Carlton.

Shit

tom9779 · Post by **tom9779** » Sun Jul 01, 2007 1:55 pm

after friday nights unconvincing win, I am actually now more sure that we will make the 8.

simply because its a sign of a good team to play bad, and still find a way to win.

spikefan · Post by **spikefan** » Sun Jul 01, 2007 2:15 pm

I see so many posts here and on BB where people are sure that we will make the eight.
Stop dreaming there is no sure thing in the AFL, we have nine more games to play and it is very possible that we only win two and equally possible that we win six or seven.
I hope -no, I am sure- that the complacency of the fans will not affect the players or the coach but our record when we are heavy favorite is not good.

On the good side it seems that our players have reestablished a winning culture.

bombers_rock · Post by **bombers_rock** » Sun Jul 01, 2007 8:57 pm

Lloyd is King wrote:We won't beat Geelong.

I just don't know. We're winning the ones we shouldn't win, losing the ones we should win. As has been mentioned, Geelong may just be due for a loss. Probably loss, but as I said, I just don't know.

We can beat the Dogs and the Pies.

As usual, will expect it to be tight, tough and a close one against the Doggies.

I think we've got a better chance against the Filth. Keeping Rocca quiet is the key. If he kicks 4 or 5 it's curtains for us. Accuracy is crucial, which is an area we seem to be improving on. The filth's accuracy isn't great:
ANZAC Day they kicked 12.23 (W) - they really should've buried us.
Against Adelaide 11.20 (W)
Against the Bulldogs 14.18 (L)
Against Melbourne 11.15 (L)
Against Sydney they kicked 10.16 (L)
12.15 today (L)
I've had a look back over our win-loss record this year, and when we win, its because we're accurate. All bar 2 of our wins, we've kicked more goals than behinds. All bar 1 of our losses (v Hawthorn - difference, without question, was Franklin) our accuracy has been an issue.

I'll be happy with 1 from 2. Should win both though. Against the filth is a must win - square the ledger at 1-1. Bulldogs are only one win behind us, our percentage is a little better than theirs, so not an immediate threat - yet.

We won't beat Adelaide.

After West Coast rolled them today in Adelaide, I think this is a game that's one of the better chances we've got. In Adelaide, for sure, looking at a probable loss, but at home - where we do seem to be playing some pretty good footy - we'll do alright.

2 from 4.

Agreed. I'll go out on a limb and say we SHOULD come out of the next month 3W-1L. Only one we SHOULD lose to is Geelong.

After tonight, I THINK... we SHOULD make the finals.

Agreed. If we don't we'll be very, very unlucky.