The Official 2007 Election Thread
Fair point, based on most of the comentary I've been hearing it would seem as if it was going down to the wire. Hard to reconcile that with the Nielsen poll! I guess there is only one poll that really counts though.Staggy wrote:Depends which poll you believe today.Sismis wrote:I very much doubt there will be a result on Saturday.
News Limited (Galaxy);
ALP: 52
Coaltion: 48
Fairfax (Nielsen);
ALP: 57
Coaltion: 43
Extraordinary.
I saw Antony Green on the 730 Report last night.
He seems to think that he'll be calling it within the first 45 minutes, or we'll have to wait until about 10.30.
This is basically what he said;
Scenario 1:
Big ALP gains in the Eastern states (Victoria, NSW, Tas). If these results come through early, then the ALP will win as Qld is projected to be their strongest state. Result will probably be called by 7.
Scenario 2:
Mixed results in the Eastern states, with the ALP not doing as well as polls suggest. In this case, then we will have to probably wait for the results in WA - with Swan and Cowan being crucial - there's probably a good chance the Libs could snatch them both against the trend. Result called by 10.30ish or later.
Gonna be an interesting night.
He seems to think that he'll be calling it within the first 45 minutes, or we'll have to wait until about 10.30.
This is basically what he said;
Scenario 1:
Big ALP gains in the Eastern states (Victoria, NSW, Tas). If these results come through early, then the ALP will win as Qld is projected to be their strongest state. Result will probably be called by 7.
Scenario 2:
Mixed results in the Eastern states, with the ALP not doing as well as polls suggest. In this case, then we will have to probably wait for the results in WA - with Swan and Cowan being crucial - there's probably a good chance the Libs could snatch them both against the trend. Result called by 10.30ish or later.
Gonna be an interesting night.
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jimmyc1985
- Champion of Essendon
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The pollster from The Australian who accompanied Green on the 7.30 Report last night had very pointy ears.Staggy wrote:I saw Antony Green on the 730 Report last night.
He seems to think that he'll be calling it within the first 45 minutes, or we'll have to wait until about 10.30.
This is basically what he said;
Scenario 1:
Big ALP gains in the Eastern states (Victoria, NSW, Tas). If these results come through early, then the ALP will win as Qld is projected to be their strongest state. Result will probably be called by 7.
Scenario 2:
Mixed results in the Eastern states, with the ALP not doing as well as polls suggest. In this case, then we will have to probably wait for the results in WA - with Swan and Cowan being crucial - there's probably a good chance the Libs could snatch them both against the trend. Result called by 10.30ish or later.
Gonna be an interesting night.
That is all.
I wouldnt exactly say "doctors wives" (that is such a demeaning descriptor) but most of us are stay at home mums (child care too expensive and inaccessible to be worth it in my case) or mums with part time work. It was just interesting the vehemence of their belief in Labor and their utter hatred of Howard. Perhaps they are pretty much as rusted on Labor as I am.
I was accosted this morning by a died in the wool Liberal who asked me why I voting for Rudd when she saw the badge. I basically said I was a Labor voter ,I cant stand Howard and WorkChoices was the end. I didnt want to get into a full debate with her because I didnt see the point. But quite frankly the number 1 issue is the environment and there is more chance of Australia moving in the right direction with a Rudd government.
I was accosted this morning by a died in the wool Liberal who asked me why I voting for Rudd when she saw the badge. I basically said I was a Labor voter ,I cant stand Howard and WorkChoices was the end. I didnt want to get into a full debate with her because I didnt see the point. But quite frankly the number 1 issue is the environment and there is more chance of Australia moving in the right direction with a Rudd government.
Menzie!!
Things go awry without Jye!!
Regards
MH_Bomber
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The Man from Bomberland
- Champion of Essendon
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Sol does look a lot like Gollum from LOTR.jimmyc1985 wrote:The pollster from The Australian who accompanied Green on the 7.30 Report last night had very pointy ears.Staggy wrote:I saw Antony Green on the 730 Report last night.
He seems to think that he'll be calling it within the first 45 minutes, or we'll have to wait until about 10.30.
This is basically what he said;
Scenario 1:
Big ALP gains in the Eastern states (Victoria, NSW, Tas). If these results come through early, then the ALP will win as Qld is projected to be their strongest state. Result will probably be called by 7.
Scenario 2:
Mixed results in the Eastern states, with the ALP not doing as well as polls suggest. In this case, then we will have to probably wait for the results in WA - with Swan and Cowan being crucial - there's probably a good chance the Libs could snatch them both against the trend. Result called by 10.30ish or later.
Gonna be an interesting night.
That is all.
Bombers till' I die
I think before the day tomorrow, and after all these weeks of discussion - it's time to take a quick straw poll as to who everyone on BT is voting for. If you don't feel comfortable writing it down, then that's okay, for everyone else, just say who you are voting for: no explanation needed, just the name. Simple exercise.
My vote will be
Lower: Greens
Upper: Greens
(Electorate: Menzies)
Anyone else?
My vote will be
Lower: Greens
Upper: Greens
(Electorate: Menzies)
Anyone else?
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jimmyc1985
- Champion of Essendon
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- Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2006 11:33 pm
- Location: Position A
Greens in both houses (Electorate: Kooyong), much to the dismay of my old man who declared me a reprobate.
Not because i agree with all (or even a vast majority) of their policies but mainly because by voting for them, my intention is to place the environment further up the mainstream political agenda. If they pull off another couple seats in the senate and poll a bigger portion of the primaries in the HORs, the majors will be on notice that the environment is a very serious concern for a lot of people. Which is a good thing.
Not because i agree with all (or even a vast majority) of their policies but mainly because by voting for them, my intention is to place the environment further up the mainstream political agenda. If they pull off another couple seats in the senate and poll a bigger portion of the primaries in the HORs, the majors will be on notice that the environment is a very serious concern for a lot of people. Which is a good thing.
Lower: Greens (Electorate: Dunkley)
Upper: Greens
Hope the Australian public have learnt their lesson from last time....if you must re-elected Howard...at least for love of Jesus H. Christ don't give the bastard control of the Senate again.
Not much point having a House of review, if it is controlled by the same party as controls the Lower House, in it's own right, without the need for the support of independents or minor parties to get its bills passed.
Upper: Greens
Hope the Australian public have learnt their lesson from last time....if you must re-elected Howard...at least for love of Jesus H. Christ don't give the bastard control of the Senate again.
Not much point having a House of review, if it is controlled by the same party as controls the Lower House, in it's own right, without the need for the support of independents or minor parties to get its bills passed.
woke up this morning to the neilson poll and the wife is spending the winnings. Then came the Gallaxy poll and I was told I'm not only lossing me money but me plums also. !!!!
'I get why the demons all fall in line with you. You're like Tony Robbins. If he was a big scary, Frankenstein looking... You're exactly like Tony Robbins.'
Spike
Spike
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dingus
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- Location: Adelaide. Your beer is worse than my beer.
Greens Greens for me. Seat of Port Adelaide: 10.8% labor at last Election.
The greens need the balance of power in the senate, and I think Bob Brown has done an ecxcellent job in selling the greens as a viable option in the face of crap campaigning against them, particularly from the family first (as long as you go to Hillsong) party.
The greens need the balance of power in the senate, and I think Bob Brown has done an ecxcellent job in selling the greens as a viable option in the face of crap campaigning against them, particularly from the family first (as long as you go to Hillsong) party.